Anyone who is trying to convince you they can accurately predict outcomes of sports events is likely trying to scam you. Bloggers or influencers might have a good analysis or a high “guess”/success rate, but that doesn’t make them sports betting tipsters. In fact, the best sports betting tipsters don’t really help you win big; what they do is help you win consistently over time.
Recently, there was a person who wagered that all the World Cup group matches would end in a draw. The bettor put $100 on each game (72), and there were a lot of losses. However, several games did end in a draw, and they won big, resulting in a $2,000 profit. In essence, this is how the best betting tipsters operate: they identify underpriced markets and give suggestions based on that.
How to Figure Out Who Is the Best Betting Tipster
It’s possible to find sports betting tipsters on social media or via a quick search, but bear in mind that those that have high visibility aren’t necessarily the best at what they do. It only means they know how to successfully advertise. To accurately verify who is the best betting tipster, you need to consider the following:
- Track record within the community: There are sites that review and keep tabs on tipsters, more precisely, their success rate. Now, some of them are impartial or independent, others might simply promote certain brands, so check multiple lists to see if there are brands that consistently rank high.
- Look for ROI and/or ROC: In short, you want to pick someone who can make your wagers profitable. So if the total money staked and the total money won resulted in a net profit of between 5%-10% than that is pretty good. Of course, this needs to be consistent over a longer time period, not just a week or a month.
- Niche experts over jacks of all trades: Best betting tipsters are more likely to specialize in one or a few sports rather than offer advice for multiple different competitions.
- Actionable advice: Always pay attention to the quality of their advice, specifically that the odds they offer are truly available on a major sportsbook. If all of their suggestions pertain to odds that shift rapidly, then their ROI claims are not authentic.
Finally, avoid brands that make big promises or that ask for large sums of cash up front. There needs to be a feasible plan that also includes loss projections. So if someone tries to sound too good, they are selling something unrealistic.
Available Payment Options
One thing worth pointing out is that you’ll have to pay for this service, and available banking options do make a difference. It’s the same as with picking a sportsbook or casino; you want one with safe payment methods that won’t eat up your winnings through constant fees. If you’re looking to keep your initial spending low, many players prefer non GamStop casinos with £5 deposit, as they make it easier to try a new platform without committing a large amount upfront. This approach helps you stay in control of your budget while avoiding unnecessary financial risk. Moreover, you don’t have to rely on banking options where you hold the majority of your balance.
Most Important Metrics When Picking The Best Betting Tipsters
When evaluating betting tipsters, make sure you compare them based on these metrics
| Metric | What is it for? | Why is this important? | What’s a red flag? |
| Sample Size | Number of recorded bets. Gives more context to the displayed results. | You want results that are based on a larger sample size to figure out if the tipster is consistent. | When a sample size consists of 10 to 20 bets. |
| Win/Loss ratio | Shows transparency and tells you what to expect | It’s a necessary context when examining average odds. | If the brand only displays a high win rate |
| ROI | Tells you how much has been staked and how much has been won | Helps you estimate potential profits | When it’s too vague or when the calculation method is not presented |
| Percentage-based profit | Transparency | The percentage is more accurate than the currency, so it’s easier to compare sports betting tipsters | If the brand only displays screenshots or data that shows cash |
| Average odds | Typical price of the markets you’ll be betting on | Needs to be taken into account when analyzing the win/loss ratio | If this type of data is not displayed |
| Time stamps | To know when the selection was published | The data should be published before the events took place, otherwise it’s not legitimate | Timestamps are not visible |
| Maximum drawdown (MDD) | Show you the highs and lows of these investments | Gives a rough estimate of how volatile this type of betting can be | If loss period or lows are omitted |
Credible vs Unreliable Sports Betting Tipsters
Instead of simply picking tipsters that you find on social media, look for legitimately credible signals, or try to avoid those who are trying to mislead you.
| Credible | Warning signals |
| The full record is on display with time stamps | Only brags about winning bets, and it’s impossible to verify when those bets were placed |
| Uses realistic language | Suggestive pitch with phrases like “Guaranteed Win” |
| Has a field of specialty or niche | Offers tips for all sports |
| Discloses risk, shows losses, and ROI is in percentages | No warnings, only stories with cash screenshots, |
| Sizable sample size (100+ matches) | Shows only one extraordinary week as a sample |
Important Data to Consider
Now let’s talk numbers in order to adjust your expectations. In the UK, the Gross Gambling Yield on sports betting for 2024-25 was £2.6 billion on remote gambling and £2.5 billion on retail gambling. The total money staked is often more than £100 billion across different gambling activities, and up to 80% is returned to the players. In other words, a realistic chance to break even is between 70%-80%, and bear in mind that there are also additional costs here since you are paying money to tipsters.
A professional tipster is someone who has 55% success rate, which adds up over time. So, going back to ROI, you should expect at least 5% profit over 100+ bets if you picked good advisors. In other words, you might want to start small just to confirm for yourself whether the information they are selling is legitimate.
