Roberto Bautista Agut v Aljaz Bedene

Tennis - ATP Beijing - 04 Oct 09:20

Best Odds: 4.55 @ Marathonbet >>> BET NOW

Bautista Agut (#13) is brilliant at grinding down opponents with his error free tennis. However put him up against an opponent who plays a similar style of tennis and suddenly he struggles to win points. It wasn't a massive surprise to see Fognini beat him in St.Petersberg. Bedene has a similar game style, no real big weapons but rarely misses.

I really hope this match gets some TV coverage at a sensible hour as we could be in for some cracking rallies. They've met 4 times before and it's 2-2, although Bautista Agut won the most recent 2 meetings. 1 of those came about due to retirement though so let's call it 2-1 to Bedene.

It's been a superb year for Bedene having won 72% of his matches 41-16. I've just priced up all the other scheduled matches with some top names in action and the only player with a better win % this year is Nadal. It does have to be said quite a few of those wins would have been Challengers and Qualifiers though so don't get too carried away.

Bautista Agut is just behind at 71% but the ROI of both players catches my eye. Despite winning so many matches you'd have lost money backing RBA with a -4.7% ROI this season. Bedene has been a profitable player to follow at 13.8% and that suggests we are on the right player here.

Finally Bautista Agut has struggled in this event in recent years losing in the 2nd Round on his last 2 visits to Edmund and Isner. I don't think he's ever tanked a match in his career but it's worth noting that next week is the Shanghai Masters, an event RBA made the final in last year so will have big points to defend.

Again double stakes as I see big value in this price. I had Bedene at 3.5 so it's still an unlikely winner but these odds look very appealing. Marathonbet are offering the best odds. Don't have an account? You really should. Better Odds = More profit and Marathonbet are more often than not top price. CLICK HERE to join.
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