Leopardstown No Speak Alexander

Horse racing - Leopardstown - Frank Conroy Silver Flash Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) - 06 Aug 13:00

No Speak Alexander's price looks too big here for me.

She was pitched into a 5 and a half furlong sprint race on good to firm on debut, running well to come seventh, around six lengths behind the winner Frenetic. Frenetic then bolted up in a listed race, before a very close second in a group 2 and a close second in another listed. Mother Earth was second. She then came 3rd at Royal Ascot behind Dandalla, who then confirmed the form by beating Fev Rover. Fev Rover won himself and it ties in with Method too - too much to write but a very hot formline.

Snowfall was third, this filly then struggled next time out before proving her class and closely winning at the Curragh. She reopposes us here. Meala also reopposes here - she has placed twice before winning since this debut.

So we have that hot maiden where we ran well but couldn't quicken up when needed. We put that debut to bed next time out by bolting up over 7 furlongs, the same trip we race at again here. We recorded an RPR of 91. I'm backing us over Snowfall as her RPR was only 81 when winning last time. Our RPR actually leads the field. The ground is a question mark as it's looking set to be good and our win was on heavy going, but our sire in his first year has already produced winners on good + good to firm so I'm hopeful that ground will be no issue.

Shane Foley jumps ship to partner one of the fillies shorter in the market, Oodnadatta a debut winner. However, I'm happy to take the form angle and given how good our maiden race looks on paper before destroying our rivals when upped in trip, I think this is a cracking price.

Wouldn't put anyone off a very small reverse forecast with Meala either. She has improved and also bolted up lto and her odds are quite hefty too.
Silvi Conti - BetVictor Stats
TIPS 32    PROFIT +1
Bets Placed
Joseph Clarke

Joseph Clarke (-2,107.34) bet £65.00 on this tip.

13.00
Punting4Paradise

Punting4Paradise (+5,147.07) bet £10.00 on this tip.

8.00

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