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RACING CLUB DE MONTEVIDEO v ATLETICO JUNIOR
 
Date:
Thursday 4th February
 
Market:
Copa Toyota Libertadores
 
Pick:
RACING CLUB v atletico junior
 
Rating:
 
Best Odds:
2.35
 
Bookmaker:
 
 
 
KEY POINTS
 
 
Home advantage plays a dominant part in South American football due to the severe contrast in landscape. This
 
especially helps home sides because many South American sides enter continental competition with little
 
experience due to the majority of the clubs' quality in each respective country entirely depending upon whether
 
their young stars are sold to European clubs or not so this often leaves inexperienced sides traveling to difficult
 
away games.
   
Racing claimed a 2-2 draw in Colombia from the first game, leaving them with the advantage of the away goals. The
 
onus is on Atletico Junior to take the game to the Uruguayans so the hosts are able to counter the visitors very
 
easily, something that was indicated in the first leg.
   
Atletico Junior are a poor side in their own country when playing away games, let alone in continental competition.
 
Atletico Junior didn't win any of their nine away games in their most recent Futbol Professional campaign, losing
 
seven times and drawing twice.
   
Colombian sides do not travel well in this competition, something perfectly illustrated in last year's Copa sides with
 
Libertadores proper. There were a total of nine away games played in the Copa Libertadores last year for Colombian
 
the Colombians losing five out of their seven games outside of Colombia, drawing once (Independiente Medellin's
 
stubborn defensive display at Sao Paulo) and winning once (Boyaca Chico winning at lowly Aurora Cochabamba in
 
Bolivia). The other two away games were both in Colombia between two Colombian sides and interestingly resulted
 
in draws each time.
   
No Colombian side has won on Uruguayan soil in the Copa Libertadores since 2005 where ironically Atletico Junior
 
Barranquilla won 1-0 at Club Nacional de Montevideo. The Colombians in general have lost the lion's share of their
 
trips to Uruguay in the Copa Libertadores and I see little reason as to why this record won't continue tonight.
   
BK Tip: Racing Club de Montevideo to beat Atlético Junior - 2.35 @ Bodog
 
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