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I.Karlovic vs A.Bedene

Date / Time: Tuesday 25 October 2011
Betting Tip: I.Karlovic vs A.Bedene
Competition: ATP Vienna
Tipster rating:
Likes: 2
Best Odds: 5.0 @ Stan James BET NOW »
Cash
Profit: +289.72
Win / Loss: 49-6-96
Betting Tips: 151
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Key Points

  • This tennis betting tip is from the first round between Ivo Karlovic (54) and Aljaz Bedene (204) at ATP Vienna.
  • Ivo Karlovic is on a great run of form having won back to back challengers in the USA.
  • He's only just arrived in Vienna after a transatlantic flight and his motivation this week is in doubt.
  • He has no ranking points to defend til the end of the season so he may well decide to prioritise next week's ATP 500 event and the Paris Masters in 2 weeks from now.
  • He may also like a few days at home in Croatia with his young daughter as he's been in North America for so long, so a first round defeat here would maybe suit him.
  • He's up against Bedene a young 22 year old Slovenian player who's done very well to make it through qualifying, winning 3 matches along the way. He impressively beat Robert (106) and Gimeno Traver (95), both in straight sets.
  • His serving stats look pretty good. He's won well over 80% of points on first serve. Of course this is nothing compared to Karlovic but the Croat will not have had much time to get used to the conditions here.
  • Karlovic's record indoors is not as good as you might expect. Since September 2008 he's not managed to win more than 2 matches in a row.
  • My feeling is that Karlovic may tank this match as a favour to a young talented player from a neighbouring country.
  • He has certainly done this sort of thing before. You only need to look at his loss against Kudla (394) in Newport this year and Gregorc (434) in New Haven in 2008 for examples of this.
  • Even when Karlovic gives 100% his matches often become a lottery as his groundstrokes are often so weak. On a fast court his returns can be very ineffective.
  • I reckon Bedene has a great chance of winning this match and these odds look very good value.

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