N.Davydenko vs T.Gabashvili

Key Points

This tennis betting tip is from the match between Nikolay Davydenko (38) and Teymuraz Gabashvili (126).
This match is a recipe for an upset. Two Russians playing in Moscow and the favourite has an ongoing hip injury.
I know some people are backing Davydenko here but to me he looks like a terrible bet.
He is a good player on indoor courts when he's up for it but, given his first round defeats in the last couple of years in Moscow, it's doubtful how much this tournament means to him.
Gabashvili hasn't had much success lately but when he's at his best he's a pretty decent player.
He beat Roddick at the French Open last year and this year he's beaten the likes of Dimitrov (70), Schuettler (85) and Brands (83).
I expect Davydenko to do him a favour here and not try too hard.
You may think that Davydenko will change his ways and decide to focus properly for this tournament but his results this year show that this is unlikely.
Every time you think he has turned a corner and is getting some good form together he tends to follow it up with a shockingly inept performance.
You only need to look at his losses to the likes of Stebe (168) twice and Veic (227) this year as well as his 6-0 6-2 loss against Fish (8) to see that simply anything could happen here.
I'm very happy to back the outsider in this sort of match and these odds look like very good value.

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