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T.Bellucci vs D.Sela

Date / Time: Saturday 19 November 2011
Betting Tip: T.Bellucci vs D.Sela
Competition: ATP Challenger Finals, Sao Paulo
Tipster rating:
Likes: 1
Best Odds: 2.1 @ Bwin BET NOW »
Cash
Profit: +289.72
Win / Loss: 49-6-96
Betting Tips: 151
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Key Points

  • This tennis betting tip is from the ATP Challenger Finals and the semi-final between Thomaz Bellucci (37) and Dudi Sela (95).
  • I backed Bellucci to win this tournament earlier in the week but he has not been impressive.
  • For those of you who backed Bellucci I now suggest that you back Sela to win this match with the same stake. That way you will make a slight profit if Sela wins. If Bellucci wins he may regain some confidence and still manage to win the tournament tomorrow.
  • Bellucci has never been at his best on indoor courts but I felt that he was a class above the rest of the field here. However I was proved wrong on this. On these courts it seems there are a lot of players out there that can trouble Bellucci.
  • Sela is exactly this sort of player. He's nothing special but hard-working and reliable from the baseline. He's good on hard courts and has a lot of experience of playing big matches in front of noisy crowds.
  • The support that Bellucci gets from the fans in Sao Paulo creates an atmosphere that is similar to Davis Cup where Sela has plenty of experience.
  • This match is the first on court today which is an advantage to Sela. Bellucci played for almost 3 hours late into the evening yesterday and there's no doubt Sela will be the fresher player.
  • Bellucci was mentally weak at times in his match last night. From 5-2 in the final set tie-break he lost 4 points in a row playing some extremely poor tennis to go 5-6 down before a few errors from his opponent Klizan (90) finally gifted the match to him.
  • Sela beat Bellucci in their only previous meeting in the first round of the US Open this year in 5 sets.
  • He said afterwards that it was his superior fitness that helped him win in the end. Sela's been working a great deal on his fitness this year and maybe it is starting to pay off.
  • I think Sela will have the edge over Bellucci in two areas today, fitness and mental strength, and therefore I think he has a great chance of winning this match.

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