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A.Murray vs G.Simon

Date / Time: Saturday 01 October 2011
Betting Tip: A.Murray vs G.Simon
Competition: ATP Bangkok
Tipster rating:
Likes: 1
Best Odds: 6.0 @ Betfair BET NOW »
Cash
Profit: +289.72
Win / Loss: 49-6-96
Betting Tips: 151
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Key Points

  • This tennis betting tip comes from the semi-final between Andy Murray (#4) and Gilles Simon (#12) at the ATP event in Bangkok.
  • This tip is all about the motivation factor. Simon will be absolutely pumped for this match and give 110%.
  • He has had a good year so far but it would be a great year for him if he could get into the top 8 and play at the ATP finals in London.
  • Despite being a counter-puncher I think he is at his best on indoor hard courts. This is because wind or hot weather are not a factor and his groundstrokes can therefore be more effective.
  • He has a decent serve and he can play attacking tennis sometimes. This surface brings out the best in his game.
  • He beat Nadal (in Madrid) and Federer (at the ATP finals) on this surface back in 2008.
  • Murray leads the head to head 7-1 and it's clear that he likes playing the Frenchman but in Madrid this year they had a very tough 3 setter where Murray has had to dig very deep to win.
  • Murray may not be so motivated to win tomorrow certainly if this is another long match.
  • He's a proud Scotsman and the England - Scotland Rugby World Cup match starts half an hour after the start of this match, so Murray might want to catch the end of that match rather than struggle on court for 3 hours in what for him is just a minor tournament.
  • You only need to look at his losses against the likes of Bogomolov (#118) and Young (#143) in Masters events to see that there is value in backing Simon today. Often his attitude on court away from the Grand Slams simply doesn't give you any confidence in backing him.
  • Simon is a good enough player to beat Murray if the Scotsman is not playing his best and that's what I half expect to happen tomorrow morning!
  • In my opinion the price on Simon is simply too good to ignore.
  • Simon was ranked as high as 6 a couple of years ago and is on his way back up to that sort of ranking.
  • I feel the market is not giving him the respect he deserves here and he's certainly a great value bet here.

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