Rafael Nadal v Kevin Anderson

Tennis - US Open - 10 Sep 21:00

I like these odds for Anderson here, Nadal was 1.33 against Del Potro and is now 1.16 against Anderson but I see Anderson as much more of a threat. Anderson has been in great form over the last 6 months or so, he's climbed up the ranks well from the start of the year and is becoming a real fighter late in his career. Despite Nadal winning in solid fashion in his semi final which I tipped, this was more to do with fatigue for Del Potro and how Nadal can dominate a set or two in a game and come up with a huge score, but let's not be blinded by the fact that Del Potro's huge forehand and power rocked Nadal at times, especially in that first set, and this is something Anderson will bring to the table as Carreno-Busta struggled with the power off that forehand in their semi.

Nadal hasn't been the same since the clay season, yes he is still playing exceptionally well, but he is not unbeatable and is showing some vulnerability at times. His service game wasn't as clean as it could be and I can remember a lot of 30-30s on his serve, he was also unsure of coming to the net at times and was so unnecessarily far back at the baseline, he was out of his comfort zones at times and with Anderson playing to a similar style as Del Potro this looks very attractive. Anderson's massive serve should help him with his service games and I genuinely see Anderson winning more service games than Nadal as he looked very vulnerable on his last night in that first set.

Anderson wouldn't be the first outsider to win at the US Open in recent years either, with Del Potro winning in 2009 and Cilic in 2014. The crowd were right behind him against Carreno-Busta and expect the same in the final here.

I think this is going to be a lot tigher than odds of over 6/1 suggest, half stakes.
Best Odds

Posted 2 years ago

MarkussT - Marathonbet Stats
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