Rafael Nadal -4.5 Games v Juan Martin Del Potro

Tennis - US Open - 08 Sep 23:00

Looks to be a very good price to me from SportingBet, this handicap would have landed in all of Nadal's previous matches in this tournament, and in two of them the opponent took a set, meaning he does a very good job of dominating sets. In 4 out of his 5 matches so far this tournament, the last set has been won 6-2 or better, showing he finishes well and dusts off his opponent at the end, rather than just looking to serve it out. He's played 17 sets here, 10 of them have either been 6-1 or 6-2 which helps this tip a lot. Nadal looks very hungry and competitive and right in the zone, he breezed passed Rublev, who despite looking nervous at times, still produced some quality tennis. Over the last couple of years Del Potro has just looked so fatigued to me, Nadal looks exceptionally fit and for Rublev to win any points against him he had to go very deep, I think this would really tire out Del Potro especially after his Federer match went to 4 sets and the match before against Thiem went the distance at 5 sets.

I expect Nadal to win here anyway, and with his consistency he shows by dominating sets and the chance of Del Potro being fatigued it looks like the handicap is a real value option here. Max stakes.
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Posted 2 years ago

MarkussT - Sportingbet Stats
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