David Goffin -4.5 Games v Gilles Simon

Tennis - Shanghai Masters - 11 Oct 10:00

Best Odds: 2.62 @ Ladbrokes >>> BET NOW

I think there's value in backing Goffin at 1.44 in this match up. The concern is he's feeling the effects of two titles back to back in Tokyo and Shenzhen. I don't think it's a major concern given he only played 1 three set match last week but it does put me off backing him at short odds.

Instead I'll play the handicap markets. If this goes to form then Goffin will be an easy winner. Simon doesn't have any big weapons and I struggle to see how he'll win points if Goffin brings his recent form to the court.

Simon hasn't won back to back matches in a tournament since before the French Open. 6 of his last 10 defeats have seen this games handicap covered. When these 2 last met in Miami back in 2016 Goffin came through 3-6 6-2 6-1. So pretty convincingly once he found his footing in the match.

This season Goffin has recorded 51 match wins, Simon only 15. The Frenchman does have a good record here in Shanghai but this is one of the worst seasons of his career and it would be a big surprise if he suddenly found his form after such a dismal season.

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BKTennis +1220.50
Stake: 10 2.62Ladbrokes
Best Odds

Posted 2 months ago

2.62
Bets Placed
Simon

Simon (+13,830.35) bet £10.00 on this tip.

2.65
CD

CD (+4,026.40) bet £10.00 on this tip.

2.62
Wieslaw

Wieslaw (+1,457.19) bet £10.00 on this tip.

2.62
SlugForAButt

SlugForAButt (+1,061.32) bet £10.00 on this tip.

2.62
Woland

Woland (+5,000.85) bet £10.00 on this tip.

2.65
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