Jerzy Janowicz vs Andreas Seppi Over 22.5 Games

Tennis - Ortisei Challenger - 10 Oct 19:15

Best Odds: 2.0 @ bet365 >>> BET NOW

Two evenly matched players, one very serve orientated, the other a home favourite, played on a fast indoor hard court. Janowicz is 6' 8" and has held 89% and broken 16% in 2017. The average ATP hold break stats are 78/22.

Just 5 of his 21 losses priced 1.5 to 2.99 on indoor hard have seen him lose in under 22.5 games. His last match was a 7-6 7-6 loss to Fucsovics priced identically to this match just a couple of weeks ago.

Seppi is 6' 3" and less serve orientated, basically neutral, holding 78% and breaking 21% over the last year. This is a home event for Seppi where he has always played well and only once in 15 matches has he lost in under 22.5 games. They've both played 0.24 tiebreaks per set over the last year which is 33% above the average.

The one H2H meeting was on indoor hard and it ended 7-6 3-6 7-6 albeit in 2009.

So in short, we have two evenly matched players on fast, indoor conditions; Janowicz is serve orientated and has a historic tendency not to lose in under 22.5 games; Seppi tends to play well at this home event where he too has a historic tendency not to lose in under 22.5 games. My price would be 1.66 so this is double stakes.

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TennisPilot +2196.25
Stake: 20 2.00Bet365
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