Joao Domingues v Gastao Elias 2-1

Tennis - Montevideo Challenger - 11 Nov 21:00

Odds: 4.75 @ bwin >>> BET NOW

Elias is very consistent priced sub 1.5 winning 84% of his last 50 matches (85% in 2017). However, he is inconsistent during matches (probably due to his style) and as a result Elias has won 44% over his last 50 matches priced sub 1.5 by the scoreline 2-1 as well as all 3 matches this week.

Domingues is priced 3.75 and while I think he is value I think this is better at the odds on offer. He is a somewhat diminutive player but uses that to his advantage by being very quick and agile round the court, making very few errors and generally pushing players to hit winners and play their best tennis. Unsurprisingly he gets his best results on slow clay, and Montevideo is very slow clay. He has been in great form this week defeating Silva last round in 3 sets priced 3.4 and Jarry the round before priced 3.5.

I would expect Domingues to push Elias but given their respective game styles I worry about Elias dialing in when it gets to a decider. Combined with the fact that the next best is 4 I think this is the bet.

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TennisPilot +2273.75
Stake: 20 4.75Bwin
Best Odds

Posted 1 month ago

4.75
Bets Placed
Woland

Woland (+4,980.85) bet £20.00 on this tip.

4.75
Simon

Simon (+13,830.35) bet £9.31 on this tip.

4.75
CD

CD (+4,016.40) bet £20.00 on this tip.

4.75
Row Z

Row Z (+1,568.94) bet £3.00 on this tip.

4.75
Follower

Follower (-408.17) bet £30.00 on this tip.

4.75
Wieslaw

Wieslaw (+1,447.19) bet £20.00 on this tip.

4.75
jugger

jugger (+1,535.99) bet £15.00 on this tip.

4.00
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