Reilly Opelka v Jared Hiltzik Set 1 Total Games: Over 12.5

Tennis - Knoxville Challenger - 07 Nov 16:30

BKTieBreak has already posted this and covered several key points. Opelka is very similar to Isner who plays near enough 50% first set tiebreaks.

Opelka has just 75 matches on record but has played 0.36 tiebreaks per set suggesting odds of 2.75. He's played 16 matches priced sub 1.5 with 7 of them having a first set tiebreak (44%). Jared Hiltzik is a relatively unexposed American but has been solid in recent weeks.

He's been priced 3+ indoors on 8 occasions previously with 3 of these going to 7-5 or 7-6. Most recently he lost 7-5 6-7(4) 6-4 to Liam Broady priced 5 who is a far better returner than Opelka. Hiltzik and Opelka met a couple of weeks ago and it was 7-6 6-4 to Opelka.

American indoor hard court is generally very quick and both of these players will be familiar and comfortable with conditions. I would expect this to be competitive at least for a set and tiebreaks are usually the way to go for Opelka. My price would be 3 so at 4 it's double stakes.
TennisPilot +2273.75
Stake: 20 4.00SportPesa
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