Jerzy Janowicz v Norbert Gombos Set 1 Total Games: Over 12.5

Tennis - Bratislava Challenger - 07 Nov 17:00

Jerzy Janowicz is 6'8'' and unsurprisingly serve orientated. Last week he played 5 matches in Eckental on carpet and 4 had a first set tiebreak.

Over the last year on indoor hard he's held 92.4%% and broken 17.1%. Average is 80/20 so he's statistically quite serve orientated. Norbert Gombos is very marginal underdog (2.1) so it's useful that he is a home favourite and won this event last year playing 3 of 5 first set tiebreaks in the process.

He's held 83.8% and broken 19.9% over the last year indoors so again is serve orientated though far less so than Janowicz.

Gombos has played 10 first set tiebreaks in 35 matches priced 2 to 3 indoors which would imply odds of 3.5. More significantly of his 17 matches at this event 6 have had a first set tiebreak which is indicative of the quick conditions.

Bratislava would be considered very fast indoor which is ideal for tiebreaks and a big part of this bet is due to that specific piece of context. They have one H2H meeting which was Davis Cup on indoor hard and Janowicz won 7-6(1) 6-4 6-7(2) 6-2. My price would be 2.5 to 3 so double stakes at 4.15.
TennisPilot +2411.35
Stake: 20 3.05SportPesa
Best Odds

Posted 5 months ago

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