Grigor Dimitrov v Dominic Thiem

Tennis - ATP World Tour Finals - 13 Nov 14:00

Odds: 3.05 @ Marathonbet>>> BET NOW

Just a value play. There really isn't much I can use to back this up as Thiem has struggled since his Semi Final at Roland Garros. That said he did reach the 4th Round in both the US Open and Wimbledon.

Dimitrov has been playing the better tennis and has better surface stats but I feel odds of 1.5 are too low. It's one of the scenarios where you wonder how many punters would have backed him if this was one of 10 matches taking place today rather than the only big match this afternoon.


Dimitrov generally always flatters to deceive. How he lost that match to Isner in the Paris Masters was beyond belief. This is his first appearance here at the O2 and Theim's 3 matches on this court last year, including a win over Monfils and taking a set off Djokovic might work in his favour.

These 2 have met 3 times before with Thiem winning two of those meetings. Thiem was odds of 1.5 (on clay) 2.38 and 2.5 (both hard courts) in those 3 matches which suggests getting over 3.0 here is decent value. I had Thiem around 2.62 and that's pretty much what Marathonbet had when they opened the market. It's only the results of punters piling on Dimitrov that we get these odds and that's often a good way to find value.

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BKTennis +1220.50
Stake: 10 3.05Marathonbet
Best Odds

Posted 1 month ago

3.05
Bets Placed
Simon

Simon (+13,830.35) bet £10.00 on this tip.

3.05
Wieslaw

Wieslaw (+1,447.19) bet £10.00 on this tip.

3.16
Follower

Follower (-408.17) bet £10.00 on this tip.

3.00
Woland

Woland (+4,980.85) bet £10.00 on this tip.

3.38
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