Benoit Paire v Yuichi Sugita

Tennis - ATP Tokyo - 03 Oct 07:00

Best Odds: 1.97 @ Marathonbet >>> BET NOW

I can't seem to get Paire right. In the recent tournament in Metz I bet against him 3 times and he won, I finally back him in the final and he loses. Still I'm going to trust my prices and having made Paire the 1.57 favourite it has to be double stakes here. He played some fine tennis in Metz a few weeks ago including that huge win over Goffin. Some of the best tennis in his career came here in Tokyo a couple of years ago.

Paire made the final in 2015 with victories over Dimitrov, Kyrgios and Nishikori so hopefully he can feed off those memories. Sugita (#43) did win their only previous meeting but it was a Challenger Event in 2012 so not sure it means a lot. Dan Weston on twitter did a great article about Sugita and his sudden up turn in form. The basis of it was that Sugita was saving way more break points than the norm and simply couldn't keep up at that ratio. So whilst his results have been impressive I don't see him going much higher in the rankings.

He made the semi finals last week but that may work against him with some potential fatigue. Of course home advantage has to be taken into consideration. That is until you realise Sugita has an abysmal record here in Tokyo, never getting past the 1st round in 11 previous appearances. Really like the price, hopefully I can finally get Paire right.

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BKTennis +1370.35
Stake: 20 1.98Marathonbet
Best Odds

Posted 1 year ago

Bets Placed

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Row Z

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Dave (+2,550.01) bet £40.00 on this tip.


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