Gilles Muller v John Millman

Tennis - ATP Sydney - 10 Jan 09:30

It's been a long time since I've been quite this shocked by the price of a tennis match. John Millman (#128) the 1.57 favourite. Are you kidding me?

He's ranked 103 places below Muller (#25) in the World Rankings. Yes he played well last week and yes he won their last meeting in the Australian Open in 2016 but that doesn't warrant these ridiculous odds.

Muller loves it here in Sydney. Last year it was the scene of his first ever ATP Tour title. He has an 11-3 winning record in this event. The courts tend to play a bit quicker which is ideal for his big serve.


He had a career season in 2017 and had an elbow problem towards the end of the campaign so decided to take a few months out.

He was back in Brisbane last week and reports suggest the injury isn't a factor. I don't think his defeat there means a lot, in fact I was expecting it given his focus will have been on defending his title here in Sydney. Prior to winning this event 12 months ago he lost in the 1st Round to Donaldson in Brisbane so don't read too much into last weeks performance.

These two met once before on a quicker court indoors in Stockholm and Muller won in straight sets as a 1.44 favourite.

The stats are overwhelming in his favour. In the past 12 months Muller has won 63% of his ATP Tour matches, Millman has won 45%.

Muller has a 51% win rate on hard courts on the main draw, Millman just 39%.

Millman has actually lost 34 of his 42 (81%) career matches against Top 50 opponents.

On Sunday night I very nearly tipped Muller to win the title. He was the 10/1 tournament favourite. He's still only 12/1 whilst Millman is 25/1. How is he the underdog?

I'm still shaking my head here. I had the odds the other way around. This is the easiest MAX STAKES tip I've ever posted and I think I might chuck another £20 on it from a punter perspective.

Coral are now offering these odds. Check out their free bet offer below if you don't have an account.

BKTennis +1297.60
Stake: 30 2.10Coral
Best Odds

Posted 5 months ago

2.10

Posted 5 months ago

2.10

Posted 5 months ago

2.10

Posted 5 months ago

2.10

Posted 5 months ago

2.10

All odds are subject to change and are correct at the time of publishing.

Bets Placed
Andy Ward

Andy Ward (+1,304.71) bet £30.00 on this tip.

2.25
CD

CD (+4,585.91) bet £30.00 on this tip.

2.25
Simon

Simon (+13,840.06) bet £50.00 on this tip.

2.25
Wieslaw

Wieslaw (+413.76) bet £45.00 on this tip.

2.25
Gremlin

Gremlin (+547.66) bet £40.00 on this tip.

2.21
Woland

Woland (+6,952.29) bet £30.00 on this tip.

2.25
CJ

CJ (+3,415.40) bet £30.00 on this tip.

2.10
jborg5

jborg5 (-72.75) bet £30.00 on this tip.

2.10
jugger

jugger (+2,248.92) bet £30.00 on this tip.

2.25
SlugForAButt

SlugForAButt (+1,197.01) bet £30.00 on this tip.

2.10
Joel

Joel (+3,850.53) bet £50.00 on this tip.

2.10
Betting Expert

Betting Expert (+5.11) bet £20.00 on this tip.

2.20
Follower

Follower (+597.05) bet £30.00 on this tip.

2.25

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