Leonardo Mayer v Elias Ymer

Tennis - ATP Stockholm - 17 Oct 17:30

Odds: 1.53 @ Paddy Power >>> BET NOW

Backing Mayer (#49) on indoor hard courts at these odds isn't a recipe for success but given the level of his opponent I think there is still some value to be had here. Elias Ymer (#206) gets a wild card due to being Swedish. It's the only reason he's here. He's yet to win a main draw match on the ATP Tour.

Ymer has lost in the 1st Round in 3 of his last 4 tournaments on the Challenger Tour. He has a 1-4 record here in Stockholm and last year he lost 6-4 6-0 to Kamke (#133) in the 1st Round. So far in his career he has a 1-12 record v Top 50 opponents. The win coming against Kyrgios who we know on his day can lose to anyone.

Tennis Pilot pointed out last week that Mayer has looked below his best of late but he's still been winning matches and has recorded 12 wins in his last 18. This will be his 4th appearance here in Stockholm and he's yet to lose in the 1st Round. Hopefully he realizes what of a gift of a draw this is and takes advantage by making the 2nd Round again.

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BKTennis +1220.50
Stake: 10 1.53Paddy Power
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Posted 2 months ago

1.53
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