Grigor Dimitrov v Mischa Zverev

Tennis - ATP Stockholm - 20 Oct 15:45

Odds: 4.8 @ Marathonbet>>> BET NOW

I suppose the best way to highlight why I think these odds offer value is to look at their play on this surface in recent seasons. Here are their stats for their last 50 matches on indoor hard courts.

Dimitrov 34-16 (-4.1% ROI)
Zverev 33-17 (8.6% ROI)

Now it has to be said Zverev has played some qualifiers and some challengers in that spell but the ROI is the key. It tells us that Dimitrov has been over rated by the bookies, something I have always believed.



In the past 12 months Dimitrov's ROI on indoor hard courts is actually -11.8%. That despite winning 8 of his 11 matches on this surface.

Zverev we know has had a good season, inspired by the success of his brother and being one of the few serve and volleyers on tour. These quicker courts certainly suit his style of play. He was runner up in Geneva, made the semi finals in Stuttgart & Metz and also the 4th Round of the US Open.

These two have met twice before, both this season and both wins for Dimitrov. However on each occasion Zverev did win a set so it's always been fairly close. Based on my prices and opinion, anything over 4.0 here looks a value bet.

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BKTennis +1220.50
Stake: 10 4.80Marathonbet
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Posted 2047 years ago

4.80
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