Grigor Dimitrov v Juan Martin Del Potro

Tennis - ATP Stockholm - 22 Oct 14:00

Odds: 2.0 @ bet365 >>> BET NOW

Having watched both yesterdays semi finals I cannot believe Del Potro (#19) is the underdog here. I'm guessing bookies are assuming his 3 set match with Verdasco took a lot of energy but he looked good to me. The level of play in that semi final was breathtaking and if Del Potro produces the same performance today I don't see him losing.

Dimitrov (#8) on the other hand made hard work of beating an injured Fognini, twice losing his serve in the 2nd set. The stats suggest we have an excellent price too. Del Potro leads the head to head 5-2 although has lost the most recent 2 meetings.

If we focus on their records indoors then there is a big difference between. Del Potro has a 78-31 record indoors winning 72% of matches. Way ahead of Dimitrov at 47-30 (61%). They've met 3 times on this surface and Del Potro won them all. He also beat Dimitrov 6-4 6-2 on grass last year. For me it's the one handed backhand of Dimitrov that causes him problems on quicker courts and he'll be forced to use the slice a lot today.

Del Potro won the title here in Stockholm last season and is on an 8 match winning streak on this court. He beat Dimitrov 6-4 7-5 in the semi finals last year and he was the 1.5 favourite on that occasion.
Their respective records in finals makes interesting reading too. Dimitrov has a 6-5 record, Del Potro is 18-3, winning 10 finals in a row. I've got Del Potro as the 1.67 favourite here so DOUBLE STAKES from me. I'll be back this evening with tips for tomorrows 1st Round matches from Vienna and Basel.

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