Grigor Dimitrov v Fabio Fognini

Tennis - ATP Stockholm - 21 Oct 12:00

Odds: 4.5 @ Marathonbet>>> BET NOW

The main concern here is fatigue. Fognini (#27) played for nearly 3 hours yesterday but all 3 sets were long with 2 tie breaks. I didn't see the match so can't comment on his fitness levels but I do know these players have amazing ability to recover from these long matches.

Fognini has been playing some excellent tennis this year. Breathtaking at times when I've watched him play. He's been a punters dream this season with a ROI of over 20%. He's improved his play on all surfaces and just last month reached the final in St.Petersburg including a superb semi final win over Bautista Agut.

Dimitrov has the better surface stats and record here in Stockholm but Fognini won their most recent meeting in 2015. The H2H is 3-2 in favour of Dimitrov.

Dimitrov has a pretty poor record in semi finals in his career with a 17-19 losing return. If you backed him in all those semi finals your ROI would be -30%. As always it's about the odds and I think anything over 3.5 looks value on Fognini. Factoring in the potential fatigue I'm only willing to bet ยฃ10 here.

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BKTennis +1220.50
Stake: 10 4.50Marathonbet
Best Odds

Posted 2 months ago

4.50
Bets Placed
Simon

Simon (+13,817.93) bet £10.00 on this tip.

4.50
Graeme

Graeme (+379.10) bet £25.00 on this tip.

4.00
Woland

Woland (+4,825.23) bet £10.00 on this tip.

4.15
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