Paolo Lorenzi v Roberto Carballes Baena

Tennis - ATP Quito - 08 Feb 17:00

Lorenzi boasts a superb 9-3 career record at this event, which beats Carballes Baena's 7-3 record.

Lorenzi, who is ranked 61 places above Carballes Baena, has improved each year at the Ecuador Open, reaching the quarterfinals in 2015, the semifinals in 2016, and the final in 2017, where he was bested in 3 tight sets by Estrella Burgos.

Carballes Baena was eliminated by Ramos-Vinolas in the quarterfinals last year with Ramos-Vinolas being crushed in straight sets by Lorenzi in the following round.

Lorenzi's 22-13 claycourt record last year edges out Carballes Baena's 48-30 record in terms of winning percentage (63% as compared to 62%) in spite of the fact that Lorenzi played in mostly ATP events while the Spaniard played in mostly Challenger events.

Lorenzi thrashed Carballes Baena 2-0 in their only career match, which took place at the ATP Kitzbuhel, another high-altitude claycourt event, which Lorenzi won.

The experienced Italian, who has wins over Thompson and Ramos-Vinolas this year, is a class above Carballes Baena, and he should open his week with a convincing victory.
Altan +622.50
Stake: 30 1.75Betfair
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Posted 3 months ago

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Julien Muller

Julien Muller (-611.20) bet £30.00 on this tip.

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