Gael Monfils v Pablo Cuevas

Tennis - ATP Buenos Aires - 13 Feb 18:30

This tennis betting tip comes from the ATP Tour event in Buenos Aires and the 1st Round match between Gael Monfils (#44) and Pablo Cuevas (#32).

I can't have Monfils the favourite here. Last week was the 1st time he played a clay court event in South America and he lost to Monteiro (#117) as a 1.22 favourite.

Monfils is 4-5 on clay in the past 12 months and has lost in the 1st Round in 4 of his last 6 clay court events.


In contrast Cuevas is a South American clay court specialist. He's actually won 4 of the last 9 ATP Tour clay court events he's played in South America which makes the 20/1 on offer in the outright market very tempting. It's only his record here (QF best) and the strength of the field that puts me off an outright tip.

Since the start of the 2016 season Cuevas has a 20-3 record on the red dirt in South America and is currently riding a 9 match winning streak.

These two have met twice before on clay. Their most recent encounter was in Madrid in 2016, a match Cuevas won in 3 sets.

The previous meeting was at Roland Garros, Monfils won in 5 sets, but the scoreline doesn't tell the story. I watched that match and Cuevas was in complete control. He led 2 sets to 1 and was a double break up in the 4th set (4-1). The French crowd then got involved and Cuevas crumbled under the pressure.

I had Cuevas as the 1.8 favourite so I'm going double stakes here at 2.3.
BKTennis +1449.85
Stake: 20 2.25Black Type
Best Odds

Posted 10 months ago

2.25

Posted 10 months ago

2.20

Posted 10 months ago

2.20

Posted 10 months ago

2.15

Posted 10 months ago

2.14

All odds are subject to change and are correct at the time of publishing.

Bets Placed
Simon

Simon (+15,078.78) bet £20.00 on this tip.

2.30
Andy Ward

Andy Ward (+2,442.88) bet £20.00 on this tip.

2.30
Wieslaw

Wieslaw (+1,060.22) bet £20.00 on this tip.

2.30
Julien Muller

Julien Muller (-461.59) bet £20.00 on this tip.

2.18
Woland

Woland (+8,564.06) bet £20.00 on this tip.

2.25
Gremlin

Gremlin (+387.88) bet £20.00 on this tip.

2.25
SlugForAButt

SlugForAButt (+2,375.88) bet £20.00 on this tip.

2.25
jugger

jugger (+5,116.79) bet £15.00 on this tip.

2.10

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