John Isner vs Leonardo Mayer Set 1 Score Any Player: 7-6

Tennis - ATP Beijing - 05 Oct 07:30

Best Odds: 3.0 @ BoyleSports >>> BET NOW

I will have some more interesting tips as the month progresses (I promise) but for now we're still being offered easy value which I have to take.

Isner has played 40% tiebreaks per set over the last 3 years and 454 sets. He has also played marginally more first set tiebreaks in that time period so 3 instantly seems too big.

Some might argue the fact Isner is priced 1.33 here is a worry. However, 42 of his last 100 matches priced 1.2 to 1.5 have seen a first set tie, roughly in line with his average. Plus Mayer is a strong server so unsurprisingly 3 of the 5 H2H sets have been tiebreaks including both first sets.

When they last met at Houston this year it was a very close match with Isner coming through 6-7 7-6 6-3. Mayer won 74% of first and second serve points on the day so was objectively unlucky to be broken at all even over all 3 sets. Anything similar to that display and this bet will be huge value on the day.

Main issue is the courts are slow in Beijing, but I would still price this around 2 to 2.2. There is some 2.62 around which is fine but maybe just for £10. Double stakes at odds of 3.

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TennisPilot +2196.25
Stake: 20 3.00BoyleSports
Bets Placed
Andy Ward

Andy Ward (+486.80) bet £10.00 on this tip.

2.60
Dave

Dave (+556.20) bet £25.00 on this tip.

2.62
Woland

Woland (+3,122.02) bet £20.00 on this tip.

3.00
Wieslaw

Wieslaw (+4.38) bet £20.00 on this tip.

2.50
Follower

Follower (+94.57) bet £10.00 on this tip.

2.62
SW

SW (+10,115.69) bet £15.00 on this tip.

2.39
CD

CD (+3,501.69) bet £20.00 on this tip.

2.50
Pantera

Pantera (+468.33) bet £20.00 on this tip.

3.00
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