David Goffin v Jack Sock

Tennis - ATP Basel - 27 Oct 19:30

I think Sock (#23) is the value play here. Anything bigger than 2.9 looks value. He has the better record on indoor hard courts than Goffin winning 63% (26-15) of his matches in the main draw of the ATP Tour. Goffin has won 61% (37-24).

On a quick court like this it certainly helps to have a big serve and Sock holds the advantage in that department. The American who's been in poor form of late often seems to come to life at this stage of the season. 12 months ago he reached the final in Stockholm and Quarter Finals of the Paris Masters.

Sock has won 15 of his last 21 matches on this surface and looked in good form when I watched him beat Haase in the last round. There was no real suggestion of any injury or fitness concern in that win, from what I saw at least.

As well as having the better record indoors Sock is far more profitable on this surface. His ROI is 23.2%, well ahead of Goffin at 2.4%. Just last week Goffin was beaten as a 1.25 favourite to Tsitsipas (#131) in Antwerp, highlighting his vulnerability on a quicker court.
Of course Goffin is the most likely winner but Sock looks the value play to me. Best odds Marathonbet. Click below to join if you don't have an account and claim the free bet on offer.
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Posted 1 year ago

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