Ronnie O'Sullivan vs Stephen Maguire
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This snooker betting tip comes from the German Masters and the final between Ronnie O'Sullivan and Stephen Maguire.
The odds for this match actually defy belief. How can the bookmakers make O'Sullivan favourite?
There must be a lot of O'Sullivan fans out there that simply bet on him regardless and there is no way he should be odds on.
O'Sullivan is lucky still to be in this competition and was 0-4 down at the interval against Higginson in Round 1 and relied on a lot of missed pots from his opponent to get back in the match.
He was then 1-3 behind in the Quarter Final against Matthew Stevens and again rode his luck.
In the semi finals O'Sullivan was well below his best and missed an awful lot of balls against Stephen Lee, a match he won 6-4.
At one point in the 6th frame neither player could pot a ball and it was almost farcical.
Afterwards O'Sullivan revealed he had been struggling with Glandular Fever saying ""I'm just relieved to get though because I've really been struggling with glandular fever this week, I didn't think I was going to get through the match. It's not an excuse for missing balls but sometimes I feel dead on my feet. I was wiped out even before the game, I just had to try to get through it."
That is not a good sign for O'Sullivan and another reason to bet on Maguire.
Even if O'Sullivan wasn't poorly, 6/5 on Maguire would be a great price. He is in excellent form with 16 wins from his last 18 matches having won the last Euro PTC event.
He has already whitewashed both John Higgins and Shaun Murphy in this tournament and eliminated in form Judd Trump.
Maguire is playing some of the best snooker of his career right now and against a struggling O'Sullivan I can only see one winner.
The true odds in my opinion would be reverse with Maguire the 1.8 favourite. Even then I wouldn't bet on O'Sullivan.
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