Wales v Ireland 1-12 Winning Margin

Rugby league - World Cup - 12 Nov 07:30

Ireland are heavy favourites here and the handicap line has been set at 28 points in their favour, I'm expecting a much more closer game though. Taking Wales on the handicap looks like a really smart play but at 5/1 I think Ireland to just win by 1-12 is really big value.

Reasons for expecting a close game. Firstly, there's nothing to pay for here, only the team in first progresses from this group so unless the USA cause a 500/1 upset and beat Papua New Guinea then It's PNG who go through. With nothing to play for here I see this being really scrappy, potentially teams even trying new things, I just don't see Ireland winning comfortably as expected.

Another thing to consider is that these are two battered sides. Wales have played PNG and Fiji so far losing 50-6 & 72-6, Ireland beat Italy 36-12 before losing a really hard game 14-6 against PNG. I see two tried and bruised teams here, fatigue could set in very early again leading to a scrappy game and that decreases the chances of Ireland wining as easily as expected.

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Posted 1 month ago

6.00
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