New Zealand v Scotland +48 Handicap

Rugby league - World Cup - 04 Nov 04:00

It's no surprise to see New Zealand as heavy favourites here but giving away 48 points seems a bit excessive, I feel like Scotland should cover this comfortably so it's another line I'm keen to take on.

New Zealand have bought a weakened squad to this World Cup with 8 of their first choice players switching allegiance and opting to play for Tonga. This has to hugely affect any side, not only does it take away some of your best players but it means new players were almost thrown together late on, causing havoc when it comes to team understanding.

They've made further changes here, either resting of changing a further 5 players. The reason for that will be to rest players for the third group game against New Zealand, that game will decide who wins this group but both should progress either way. This is a good opportunity for Scotland to catch New Zealand off guard, they won't win but could stick a few points on the board against this weakened side and the more points they get the better for us.

Theses two sides actually met in the 2016 Four Nations, Scotland were receiving 36 points on the handicap that day but caused a huge shock. They didn't win but did manage an 18-18 draw. They really got under the skin of New Zealand that day and caused them all sorts of problems. Scotland have a similar team here, a team that knows how to frustrate New Zealand and a 48 point head start now looks big.

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