England v Papua New Guinea - Over 11.5 points

Rugby league - World Cup - 19 Nov 05:00

I'm keen to take on England one way or another here, I just don't rate them at all and think they could struggle to contain Papua New Guinea at times. I've looked at all the markets and this seems like the best one, especially given the value. The line elsewhere is set at 12.5 and even 13.5 yet BoyleSports go just 11.5. The only other odds available for this line are 1.57.

There's nothing to like about the English defence based on what I've seen so far. They conceded 6 points against a French side who are poor in attack and they were lucky not to concede more. They conceded 10 against Lebanon too who again are poor in attack despite the odd class players in their ranks. PNG are twice as good if not more in attack than either of those two sides so 12+ points for them almost seems inevitable.

PNG are one of the most exciting teams in world rugby. They play an aggressive and attacking style of rugby, throwing the ball around for fun and trying anything, they go at it like this for 80 minutes and are totally unpredictable. They have class all over the field, some of the most explosive wingers in the game, sharp halves and just an all round size & presence about them. So far they've scored 50 points against Wales, 14 against Ireland & 64 against the USA.

Obviously this is a tougher game than those three so far, at least they come into this full of confidence though and are well drilled from what were basically training sessions against Wales and the USA. Even if this was the opening game I'd say England would have trouble containing the PNG powerhouses, so with PNG being well drilled and full of confidence I almost fear for the English defence here.

I just struggle to see England containing the speed, power, explosiveness and unpredictability of PNG, they could barely handle the French and Lebanese at times. Personally I can see PNG scoring 3 tries in this game so they have room to miss conversions if needed. Happy to go double stakes given the confidence and value.

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TryMachine +1137.20
Stake: 20 1.73BoyleSports
Best Odds

Posted 11 months ago

Bets Placed

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