England v Papua New Guinea Highest Scoring Half - First Half

Rugby league - World Cup - 19 Nov 05:00

Next best price is 2.20 with the average at 2.10, this gives us value straight away at 2.40. In my opinion this market is priced up the wrong way around anyway, I'd have the first half at 1.80 with the second half at 2.10. This gives us good overall value at odds of 2.40.

For England this bet would have landed in all three games in this World Cup so far. In the opening game the first half outscored the second half 14-8, in the second game 28-11 & the third game 32-10. The first half comfortably outscoring the second in all three games and the margin has widened each time.

I've watched all three England games so far and the difference in performance from first half to second is huge. They've started all three games well, scoring 4, 22 & 26 first half points compared to the second half where they've scored 0, 7 & 10 points. That's a major performance drop, they've just seemed to go completely off the boil second half. If this continues, and there's no reason why it won't, then England should score significantly more points in the first half than the second.

For Papua New Guinea this bet would have landed in two of their three games so far. In the opening game the first half outscored the second half 34-30, in the second game 14-6 & in the third game it was 26-30 (a try in the final minute was the difference as PNG were winning 50-0 and allowed Wales an easy late one).

Just like England it seems like PNG score the bulk of their points in the first half. In those three games they scored 26, 8 & 34 points compared to 24, 6 & 30 points in the second. PNG tend to play fast, free flowing rugby and it must take quite a lot out of their legs. They've only scored a few more points in the first half compared to the second but it does point to them potentially getting tired.

If PNG are to cause and upset here and win this quarter-final they need to start fast and I suspect they will do just that, using their size and strength to cause trouble early, it's their best chance. It should lead to an open game early, PNG looking to catch England off guard and England hitting back on the counter. For me the first half is highly likely to have the most points. Odds of 2.40 seem big and the market seems the wrong way round. Double Stakes.

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TryMachine +1107.20
Stake: 20 2.40Bet365
Best Odds

Posted 11 months ago

Bets Placed

Wieslaw (+1,292.92) bet £20.00 on this tip.


jugger (+3,713.09) bet £20.00 on this tip.


Dutch (+313.65) bet £5.00 on this tip.


Dave (+2,523.89) bet £50.00 on this tip.

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