Wincanton - Badger Ales Trophy - Southfield Royale

Horse racing - Wincanton - Badger Ales Trophy - 11 Nov 15:35

Odds: 15.0 @ bet365 >>> BET NOW

Badger Ales Handicap Chase on Saturday at Wincanton and I think SOUTHFIELD ROYALE should be backed at 14/1 after being confirmed an intended runner by trainer Neil Mulholland on Twitter.

I've sort of been planning to back this horse all week so I'm happy to see connections aiming him at Wincanton. I'm fully focusing on the National Hunt season now the flat is basically finished.

Things just didn't work out for this horse last season but as a result his mark has fell to 138 so from a handicapping perspective he's of immediate interest.

This was a horse that was just 4/1 for a GRADE ONE 4 starts ago. He's clearly a very talented horse, who has to come back to form sooner rather than later.

This is a horse that generally has a really good record fresh. His form reads 1120 first time up. It gives you hope that the horse will be raring to go for this contest on the back of a nice break.

Looking through his form, you'd make his mark of 138 look ludicrous. He was second in a GRADE ONE behind Tea For Two in the 2015-2016 season. That horse is now a dual Grade 1 winner and rated 164.

Southfield Royale was just 4 lengths off a Grade One win yet here is at 14/1 to win a listed handicap off 138. Really odd.

He has a 13 length victory over 141 rated Coologue to his name whilst he was also 4th at the 2016 Cheltenham Festival where he was sent off FAVOURITE to beat Minella Rocco and Native River, the 2nd and 3rd in last year's Gold Cup!

Southfield Royale was sent off joint favourite for the Scottish National when last seen so it's clearly not just me seeing a very attractive looking mark.

Ironically he's 3lbs lower for that here and all in all he just looks a very well handicapped horse at the moment.

Neil Mulholland won this race in 2014 only for him to lose it in an appeal weeks later (horse was deemed not eligible to run). He will be gunning to win this race after having the trophy snatched off him (horse bolted up).

This horse might have just lost the plot quite a few do over the sticks but Southfield Royale is just 7 years old and on a career low mark. He's a Grade 2 winner and a Grade 1 runner up running in a handicap off 138. I think it's a bit daft to put our money on anything else in the line up at this stage.

Forecast showers won't do his chances any harm (best form is with cut in the ground) and at 14/1 he's a really fascinating runner.

I'm just praying Neil books a half decent jockey because if he does, I'd like to think he will go very close given favourable ciumstances (career low mark, best fresh, ground).

I was deliberating whether to go win or each way here, but I've opted to go on the nose. Surely if he fires at all he ought to really be winning off 138. He's either going to prove he's thrown in or that he's severely declined in my opinion.

14/1 won't last long. Wouldn't surprise me if he went off at half the price on the day. Nearly went double stakes, but given I'm still getting a feel for the NH season I've advised £10.

Make sure you back SOUTHFIELD ROYALE and not Southfield Theatre. Easy mistake to make!

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