London National Jennys Surprise - Each Way

Horse racing - Sandown - 09 Dec 15:30

Trainer Fergal O'Brien is in the form of his life, it actually seems like he's been in top form all season, it's relentless and he's still currently operating at a 25% strike rate (4 from 16). He also has an outstanding 44% strike rate here at Sandown (8 from 18), 43% over fences here (3 from 7).

Jennys Surprise really takes the eye for this in from stable. Firstly because of her record here at Sandown, form figures of 1-1. Both wins were in the 2015/2016 season as she racked up back to back wins here within the space of 3 weeks, landing the Royal Artillery Gold Cup (coming from way back to lead late on) and then taking the Grand Military Gold Cup (leading from half way to score comfortably).

This horse clearly loves it here at Sandown which is a huge bonus as it's a tricky course. The way she mowed down the leader in the Royal Artillery Gold cup shows she loves it here as she closed a 15 length gap between the last 2 fences to win going away. I suspect a race like this has been on the cards with her shrewd trainer knowing she's suited to this track.

She arrives here in great form having won last time out at Uttoxeter, scoring impressively by 2 lengths. Her back to back wins here two seasons ago were off marks of 127, even after winning last time out she's on a mark of just 123 here. She's not only in form but clearly ahead of the handicapper too.

Jockey Alain Cawley has form figures of 3-3-1 on this horse, including winning on her last time out. Everything just adds up here, trainer & jockey stats, course form, handicap mark, fitness and form. She's a must back at 12/1 and double stakes for me. 4 places at 1/4 odds.

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Posted 11 months ago

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