Newcastle She's Zoff

Horse racing - Newcastle - 30 Nov 17:45

In the opener at Newcastle I think SHE'S ZOFF is overpriced.

This is a pretty horrific looking race and frankly appears to be a race that wouldn't take much winning. This filly hasn't set the world alight as of yet but she's only had 7 runs and is the least exposed in the line up.

She was unsuited by the drop back to 6 furlongs when last seen but previously shaped well over his distance when 4th on turf at Thirsk.

She was sent off 7/2 favourite for that race off a mark of 49. If connections believed her to be well in off that what are they making of 45? Effectively 40 in hindsight when your taking off the 5lbs jockey claim.

The form of that race hasn't worked out too badly. The first and second are now 7lbs and 11lbs higher so there is substance to the form.

She also shaped respectively when 4th at Chepstow over this trip. She's 4lbs lower for that here which reads well when the first 3 are all higher in the weights now.

William Carver is on board and the youngster is supposedly a future star (was a top Pony rider). He is based with Andrew Balding, and he won his only ever professional ride to date so he must be buzzing to get his second ride here.

As I said it's a poor race and given she's at her favoured trip and could have a few pounds in hand over her mark, she looks overpriced currently.

She gets 22lbs from the market leader Kafoo which is a massive pull and she looks worth a bet at 11/1.

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Stake: 10 15.00Bet365
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Posted 18 days ago

15.00
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