Newcastle Falcons Fire

Horse racing - Newcastle - 10 Oct 17:55

Best Odds: 11.0 @ William Hill >>> BET NOW

FALCON'S FIRE has shaped better than the results have suggested lately and I think he could be worth a stab here in what is clearly a winnable race for this horse.

This is a class 6 handicap and it's worth noting Falcons Fire has twice won at class 5, a level above today's race.

This gelding ran quite well in unfavorable conditions at Musselburgh last time. He was running off 61, his lowest mark for 22 starts and it was only the last 150 yards he faded. It came on soft ground certainly not his favored surface but he did shape well for a long way suggesting his turn could be near.

I think today's 12 furlong trip could be ideal too. Whilst having form over further, I'm convinced this is the horses best distance (2 of his 3 career wins were at this trip) so I'm keen to see how he gets on off the same mark as his Musselburgh won.

Falcons Fire also shaped well on his penultimate start which came at his venue. He finished fifth over an inadequate distance but again wasn't disgraced. It was another run that suggested 12 furlongs is his best trip. Also this run came off 3lbs higher than his mark today.

Falcons Fire is also a winner at this track which is a big plus. The win actually came off 62, where he won really impressively. He won eased down and took a real liking to the venue. He is running off a pound lower today so if he was to turn up in that kind of form here he'd have to go close.

It was only in July he was placed off 69, you can see why I think he's capable of damage off just 61.

So to recap he's running at his best distance, he's a course and distance winner and he is 9lbs below his last winning mark (Thirsk 2016).

This isn't the easiest of horses to predict in terms of mindset, but I'm pretty hopeful of a big run here and at double figure odds I think a small investment should be made.

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Stake: 5 11.00William Hill
Best Odds

Posted 1 year ago

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