National Hunt Chase Elegant Escape - Each Way

Horse racing - National Hunt Chase - 13 Mar 16:50

I was just in the process of writing a tip for Elegant Escape at Exeter tomorrow when I noticed something significant, it makes this 50/1 look potentially huge. Elegant Escape made his chase debut at the two day Chepstow meeting in mid October and is due to run at Exeter tomorrow. His stable mate, Native River, also made his chase debut at that Chepstow meeting before winning that same Exeter race, later that season he finished 2nd in the National Hunt Chase.

It looks to me like like Elegant Escape is following the exact same path as Native River and having just found some trainer comments it would seem that's the plan and it's not just coincidence. Collin Tizzard recently said about Elegant Escape "I was very pleased with him on his chasing debut and he does stay very well, so he could be one for the National Hunt Chase at the Cheltenham Festival".

Looking at the current market for this race and it's up in the air as to whether most of them will even go for this race, at least we know Elegant Escape looks like he's on target for it and will go off at half this price, probably much shorter. He's definitely got a touch of class too having finished runner up the unbeaten monster Samcro last year. He's also got Cheltenham festival experience having contested last years Albert Bartlett when a more than respectable 7th.

There's just no way he should be 50/1, I'd have him at 25/1 as it stands. The average odds are 33/1 which would still be value but again why 50/1 from William Hill. If he wins at Exeter tomorrow people will spot the Native River connection and these odds will be gone, whilst he will remain untouched in the market should he fail to win anyway. Just such a good price that needs taking. 3 places at 1/5 odds.

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TopJockey +2399.35
Stake: 10 34.00Paddy Power
Best Odds

Posted 16 days ago

34.00
Bets Placed
Row Z

Row Z (+1,578.94) bet £10.00 on this tip.

41.00
Hoops

Hoops (+1,290.74) bet £10.00 on this tip.

56.00
Woland

Woland (+5,000.85) bet £12.00 on this tip.

51.00
SW

SW (+10,447.55) bet £10.00 on this tip.

51.00
nellbergpunt

nellbergpunt (+309.60) bet £10.00 on this tip.

56.00
Simon

Simon (+13,830.35) bet £10.00 on this tip.

51.00
SlugForAButt

SlugForAButt (+1,061.32) bet £10.00 on this tip.

51.00
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