Greatwood Hurdle Mohaayed - Each Way

Horse racing - Greatwood Hurdle - 19 Nov 15:00

Trainer Dan Skelton has targeted the Greatwood Hurdle in recent years, saddling the 4th in 2014 (20/1), the close 2nd in 2015 (8/1) & the winner in 2016 (6/1)! He recently confirmed that Mohaayed would go for the Greatwood this year, he's currently number 24 on the list with a max field of 24 so is guaranteed to get in and be on a low weight. Time to get involved at potentially huge odds of 20/1.

Just like Dan Skelton's previous runners in this race Mohaayed looks well handicapped from every angle. He's a former flat horse rated as high as 107, the rule of thumb is to add 40lb to a horses flat rating to get it's hurdle rating, making Mohaayed a 147 hurdler yet he will be running here off a mark of just 137. Over hurdles he's also mixed it with much higher rated horses, he was 7th (beaten just 3 lengths) in last years County Hurdle where the top 6 are now rated between 141 & 162.

The strength of that County Hurdle form looks seriously good now too, not just based on ratings either, the form has been genuinely franked. 2nd that day was L'ami Serge (Grade 1 winner since), 10th was Court Minstrel (Grade 3 winner since) and down in 16th was the 2016 Greatwood Hurdle winner North Hill Harvey. That was such a strong race that will continue to throw up winners for years to come. It's just so obvious that Mohaayed is way better than a 137 rated horse.

Following that excellent effort in the County Hurdle Dan Skelton then pulled out a shrewd move by putting Mohaayed in a very easy race at the end of last season, it was simply a schooling session at Market Rasen, sent off the 1/33 favourite he coasted home. Dan Skelton said afterwards that was purely to get some confidence into this horse and I have to say that could prove to have done this horse the world of good.

So what we have here is a well handicapped horse, one that's been targeted at this race and is representing a trainer with an excellent recent record in this race. Even if market leader Defi Du Seuil (rated 157) was to take part I'd still fancy Mohaayed to go very close here. I can't see him going off any bigger that 14/1 on the day so 20/1 screams value. 4 places at 1/4 odds.

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TopJockey +1979.35
Stake: 20 9.00Bet365
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Posted 24 days ago

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