Ffos Las Aubusson

Horse racing - Ffos Las - 16 Apr 17:15

Have backed a few tomorrow. Can definitely understand people not backing them - my form on BK has been absolutely shocking (frustrating as personally it hasn't just always seem to put my tips up on days I'm losing). Hopefully the trend can get bucked tomorrow. My main bet tomorrow is Aubusson in the West Wales National at Ffos Las. This horse has to have a massive chance tomorrow. He's running off 138, a career low mark over fences. This horse was finishing mid field in a very strong Hennessy chase on his seasonal debut not disgracing himself in 8th. This was off 149, in a Grade 3 race - he's 11bs lower today in a CLASS 3. Massive drop in class. This horse is a very good one on his day. He was a nose off winning a Grade 1 over hurdles in Auteuil in the 15-16 season. This horse also has a Grade 3 handicap to his name so on a going day he's definitely talented.

You look at this race and think wow what an exposed looking bunch. If Aubusson is anywhere near his form of last season - he will win this doing handstands. So why is he not shorter you might ask? Well admittedly his form this year hasn't been overly convincing although you've only got to look through his form to see he has been highly tried (Hennessy and Pertemps). I see this horse getting a lot shorter come racetime as there is forecast rain which this horse will thrive off (best form in mud). That said even if that isn't the case his Grade 1 second was on quick ground so it proves Aubusson is capable of good form on all kind of grounds.

I think this represents a fantastic opportunity for Aubusson and he looks very good win material at these odds. I think there's lots of value in 6/1 - think he might even go off favourite for this!
Headcase +1024.40
Stake: 30 6.50Paddy Power
Best Odds

Posted 1 year ago

6.50
Bets Placed
Graham

Graham (+3,114.33) bet £30.00 on this tip.

7.00
Adriano

Adriano (-195.14) bet £30.00 on this tip.

7.00
Simon

Simon (+14,739.85) bet £25.00 on this tip.

7.00
SW

SW (+10,140.17) bet £90.00 on this tip.

6.00

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