Ayr - Scottish National - Vintage Clouds

Horse racing - Ayr - 21 Apr 16:05

I think it could be worth backing VINTAGE CLOUDS for the Scottish National now as I don't see the 16/1 lasting too long.

It's run next Saturday (21st April) and after missing the cut for the English National it has been confirmed by trainer Sue Smith he's going for the Scottish National.

I think this horse has the perfect profile for this race. He is open to improvement, stays all day and will handle likely softer conditions.

I've looked through the entries for this and it doesn't look a great renewal. It wouldn't surprise me whatsoever if a few that misfire in Aintree decide to give this race a go despite it being just a week later.

Vintage Clouds has had a good season so far, he won in a canter on his first run at Aintree, he's finished 4th in the Welsh National and has also finished in the frame at the Festival when 3rd in the Ultima.

He's on 141 and I'm convinced he can win off this mark. If this horse was a decent jumper I'd put this as a 150 + horse easily. He's not a terrible jumper but he seems to just throw the odd blunder in which has cost him in a couple of races already this season.

He actually ran in this last year finishing a respectable 7th on what was at the time his first try at a Marathon trip.

The ground is much softer for this year's renewal which will play into Vintage Clouds' strengths.

He's owned by last years winning owner Trevor Hemmings which is another positive and I just think when you look at the most likely winner, he does look the standout.

He has to cut out the blunders if he's to win but I do believe has a big win in him off a low 140 mark, and I expect him to go well on his second attempt at this race. I think last years spin around Ayr will have done his chances here the world of good.

Should give us a good run for our money. Plenty of value in the 16s.

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Blotfinder +561.50
Stake: 10 17.00Betfair
Best Odds

Posted 3 months ago

17.00
Bets Placed
Dutch

Dutch (+277.38) bet £4.00 on this tip.

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SlugForAButt

SlugForAButt (+1,218.71) bet £10.00 on this tip.

17.00
Gremlin

Gremlin (+236.56) bet £10.00 on this tip.

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