Wales v Republic of Ireland Over 3 2nd Half Cards

Football - World Cup Qualifying - 09 Oct 19:45

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The Slovenia v Scotland game was a prime example of how this market can be exploited, with tensions boiling over as the end of World Cup hopes become apparent. 7 cards, including a red were shown in the 2nd half of that game, with 4 of these coming after 90mins. All we need is a close game, which that one was. I think we will get another one here.

Serbia will win the group and qualify for the World Cup with victory over Georgia.If they slip up, Wales can catch them and take the automatic qualification berth. This game, however is likely to be a winner takes all encounter, although a draw would do to see Wales finish 2nd, but there is no guarantee they will be in the top 8 of 2nd placed teams with 18 points, so a win will no doubt be the aim. When you throw in the fact that this is a home nation fixture, it brings an even bigger sense of occasion to it. I think the teams are evenly matched. Wales have home advantage and the fact they are unbeaten in qualifying so far will give them immense confidence. However, without their talisman Gareth Bale, this evens the odds up somewhat against the Irish, who could give some players reduced minutes as they brushed aside Moldova on Friday. Wales, however, had a hard fought 1-0 win away at Georgia, which no doubt will have used up some vital energy resources. That could give ROI the edge going into the last 20 mins as they have barely had to travel for this away game.

Wales' 9 matches have averaged 3.89 cards per game, with Wales averaging 1.67 p/g. 4/9 have seen 5 or more cards. ROI's games have averaged 4.22 p/g, with themselves picking up 1.89 p/g and 4/9 have seen 5 or more. Those stats, however, are largely irrelevant, as the state of the game becomes more important here, as its basically a knockout. The ref for this one is Damir Skomina from Slovenia, who averages 4.03 cards per game over 29 full internationals. He can be lenient, so like Jonas Eriksson in the Scotland game today, expect the cards to come in the 2nd half.

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