Peru v New Zealand

Football - World Cup Qualifying - 16 Nov 02:15

This is the 2nd leg of this tie, with the first one finishing 0-0. The last WC spot is up for grabs here.

Firstly, I think New Zealand are vastly underrated here at 16/1. They last made the World Cup in 2010, where they drew all 3 games and finished the competition as the only unbeaten side.

Peru's last qualification was for the 1982 World Cup, and with an ageing core, I think this game will be much closer than anticipated. The vast majority of their players play in relatively minor European leagues (Denmark, Holland, Russia), the MLS or in South America. Only Carillo plays in the PL for Watford although he doesn't start every week.

New Zealand have the likes of Chris Wood and Winston Reid as their senior players, with Ipswich's Tommy Smith and the A League regulars Rojas, McGlinchey and Barbarouses making up the core of their team. Wood didn't play in the first leg through injury, but is likely to feature here and that makes New Zealand much more potent in attack.

Peru have only kept 1 clean sheet in their last 10 home games, and their top scorer in qualifying (Guerrero with 6) is injured. Both teams have had to travel to Peru from New Zealand, so neither side should have a particular advantage in that respect, although the home advantage does tip the balance into Peru's favour, but no way should they be 1/6 here.

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SDPW +1150.95
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