Greece 30+ Booking Points v Croatia

Football - World Cup Qualifying - 12 Nov 19:30

Couple of tips for tonight, as the World Cup 2nd legs take place. Croatia come into this one with more than 1 foot into the finals, after a 4-1 home win in the 1st leg. Greece were branded an "unprecedented disgrace" by the Greek press after their performance, and the national team coach has guaranteed more effort from his players.

There will be no away fans in Athens tonight, and I'm sure the crowd will do everything they can to try and spur Greece on to an unlikely 3 goal victory. Although the tie will likely go to the Croatians, I'm sure the Greeks will battle for their pride, and passion can quickly turn into aggression.

In Greece's 11 games in WC quals, they have averaged 2.55 cards per game and picked up 3 or more in 5/11, including in the 1st leg. When you take out the 2 games v minnows Gibraltar, they have picked up 3 or more in 5/9.

I really wouldn't be surprised to see Greece lose their heads here, if the result is a formality with 20 minutes to go. They have been involved in 2 really aggressive games already in qualifying; 15 cards in the game v Bosnia, and 12 cards in the game v Belgium, with Greece accounting for 6 and 8 cards respectively, and 3 reds across the 2 games.

With Croatia set to unleash Mario Mandzukic in this tie, he's no stranger to winding players up, and his introduction and subsequent physical style may be the defining moment if he unsettles an already fragile Greek team. If they have nothing to play for, they won't be too bothered about picking up cards; any of us that have played competitive sport have been there!

The ref for this game is Bjorn Kuipers; he averages 4 cards per game across 30 competitive internationals, and has shown 5 or more in 13/30.
SDPW +1020.82
Stake: 20 2.25Bet365
Best Odds

Posted 4 months ago

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