Hearts 40+ Booking Points v Hibernian

Football - SPL - 27 Dec 19:45

Edinburgh derby tonight, and I've had some time to go through things and I've found a couple of bets I like. First up is Hearts 40+ booking points (yellow = 10, red = 25) at 2.63 with Skybet.

Hearts have been one of the most ill-disciplined teams in the SPL this year, picking up 55 cards in 20 games - an average of 2.75 per game. They have picked up 4 or more in 7/20 games, a strike rate of 35% and implies odds of 2.86.

Now, I wouldn't back this at these odds in an average league fixture, however, with this being a city derby, those odds begin to interest me. The last 10 meetings between these two (dating back to April 2014) have seen 69 cards, at an average of 6.9 per game.

7/10 of these games have see 6 or more cards, so it's a derby that regularly delivers, and with just 5 points separating the teams in the league, we should be in for some fun here.

This bet has banked in 6/10 of the previous meetings, which implies odds of 1.67. When we consider that Hearts have chalked up a hefty amount of cards in their other fixtures this season, we could be excused for assuming a few names in the referee's notebook tonight.

These sides have met once so far this season, back in October, and Hearts duly picked up 4 bookings.

The ref for this game is Steven McLean. He has shown 50 cards in 12 league games this season (SPL and Championship), an average of 4.17 p/g, and he has shown 5 or more in 6/12.

For those that like a big price, both sides to get a red card is 19/1 with PP/BF - and has banked in 2/10 of recent meetings.
SDPW +1020.82
Stake: 20 2.63Skybet
Best Odds

Posted 3 months ago

Bets Placed

jugger (+1,879.00) bet £20.00 on this tip.


Wieslaw (+344.02) bet £20.00 on this tip.


Woland (+5,032.16) bet £24.00 on this tip.

Row Z

Row Z (+2,292.54) bet £5.00 on this tip.

Row Z

Row Z (+2,292.54) bet £15.00 on this tip.


Will (+1,384.78) bet £20.00 on this tip.


Dave (+2,222.50) bet £20.00 on this tip.


Simon (+13,901.01) bet £20.00 on this tip.


Punting4Paradise (+1,910.57) bet £20.00 on this tip.


HunterUk (+2,967.78) bet £20.00 on this tip.


Follower (+622.05) bet £20.00 on this tip.


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