West Ham v Man United Over 2.5 Cards

Football - Premier League - 02 Jan 17:15

Bet here for the late game in the PL as Man United travel down south to play West Ham. I’m backing the away side to pick up Over 2.5 Cards at odds of 2.10 with 888sport, double stake.

Short on time so I’ll keep this brief. Pretty much an easily justifiable bet here based on the stats.

Man Utd have picked up 48 cards in their 19 PL games, and are the dirtiest side in the league quite surprisingly. That’s an average of 2.53 cards per game.

This bet would have won in 13/19 of their matches, a strike rate of 68% which infers odds of 1.47.

Away from home, United have picked up 28 cards in 9 matches – an average of 3.11 cards per game. This bet has banked in 7/9, a strike rate of 78% and this equates to odds of 1.28. Yet we are getting 2.10 today!

West Ham’s matches are averaging 5.26 per game this season, so its extremely likely we will see cards here this evening.

The ref for this game is Mike Dean. He has shown 71 cards in 14 PL games this term – an average of 5.07 cards per game. He has shown 5 or more in 7/14 of these games.

Very good odds here, bet365 go 1.90 and Skybet 1.80 for the same bet. Normal stake if you can only get on with them.
SDPW +1025.55
Stake: 20 1.90Bet365
Bets Placed

Simon (+13,668.63) bet £5.00 on this tip.


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