Swansea Under 0.5 Goals vs Bournemouth

Football - Premier League - 25 Nov 15:00

Swansea have had one of the poorest attacks in the league under Clement and this has only gotten worse this season with the loss of the Sigurdsson/Llorente set-piece threat. They're averaging only 0.58 goals per game and have failed to score in 7 of their 12 matches so far this season.

Tammy Abraham has contributed to 5 of the 7 goals they've scored this season (4 goals, 1 assist), around 71% of the total which is the highest contribution rate in the league. He is likely to miss this match through a back injury.

They seem to have lost their identity. They now rank 13th in the league for possession - they were 7th in 15/16 - and have abandoned their passing style. They now rank 8th in the league for open-play crosses despite their low possession which is proving an ineffective tactic. Despite their frequent crossing, they rank 19th in the league for headed shots on target.

Swansea have failed to score at home to Brighton and Newcastle this season and will be without their main attacking threat. Odds suggest a 31% chance of them failing to score but I think that outcome is more likely than that.

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Accountant +94.60
Stake: 10 3.25Betfair
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Posted 11 months ago

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