Leicester Under 0.5 Goals vs Burnley

Football - Premier League - 02 Dec 15:00

Burnley concede less than a goal a game on average (0.79 goals). Only the two Manchester clubs have a better defensive record.

They have already played 4 of the big 6 sides away from and unsurprisingly didn't keep a clean sheet in any of those games. Excluding those, they have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 10 games including 1-0 wins at Everton and Southampton.

Leicester have been scoring goals recently but the expected goals numbers suggest they may have been fortunate. In their last 3 premier league games, they've registered 0.8 (vs Spurs), 0.6 (vs West Ham) and 0.1 (vs Man City) for their expected goals.

Stylistically, this could be a good match up for this bet. Leicester still are most dangerous on the counter attack but Burnley have one of the deepest defensive lines in the league and have a very soft press. There isn't going to be as much space in behind to exploit against Burnley.

Claude Puel is also more defensive than Leicester's previous managers and I don't think it will be too long before this will be reflected in their goal numbers.

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Posted 11 months ago

Bets Placed

Simon (+15,034.42) bet £10.00 on this tip.


SlugForAButt (+1,576.08) bet £10.00 on this tip.


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