PSG v Nantes Over 45 Booking Points

Football - Ligue 1 - 18 Nov 16:00

Value play here on cards, this price looks too big. Nantes are over achieving in 6th place, and with Ranieri at the helm, people are naturally comparing his job to that of Leicester. PSG are 3 points clear at the top of Ligue 1.

This bet has won in 5/12 of PSG's games (41.67%), and 3/6 at home. PSG average 2.08 cards per game and have picked up 2 or more in 8/12 of their matches and 3/6 at home.

This bet has won in 6/12 of PSG's games (50%), and 4/6 away from home. Nantes average 1.83 cards per game and have picked up 2 or more in 8/12 of their matches and 5/6 away from home.

So this bet has won in a combined 11/24 games involving these teams (45.83%), which implies odds of 2.18. When we look at the relevant home/away stats, this bet has won in 8/12 (66.67%), which reduces the probability to 1.5!

The ref for this game is Nicolas Rainville. He has shown 24 cards in 5 games - an average of 4.8 per game and shown over this mark in 3/5. Since the start of last season, he has taken charge of 14 Ligue 1 matches and shown 7 reds, which would clearly help this bet massively.

There is always the chance of a PSG rout, and you just have to accept that. This looks a massively inflated price though, and using some of the profit from the Sanchez bet, double stakes.

You'll find these odds at William Hill. Don't have an account? Well CLICK HERE to join today. Use the promo code C30 and you could get £30 in free bets. T&Cs apply. 18+. New Customers Only.
SDPW +986.82
Stake: 20 3.80William Hill
Best Odds

Posted 1 year ago

3.80
Bets Placed
ShamrockJamrock

ShamrockJamrock (+198.64) bet £10.00 on this tip.

3.80
Wieslaw

Wieslaw (+1,060.22) bet £20.00 on this tip.

3.80
Dave

Dave (+2,523.89) bet £50.00 on this tip.

3.80
CD

CD (+4,584.71) bet £25.00 on this tip.

3.80
Simon

Simon (+14,862.08) bet £20.00 on this tip.

4.00
Woland

Woland (+7,345.78) bet £20.00 on this tip.

3.80
Punting4Paradise

Punting4Paradise (+3,721.66) bet £20.00 on this tip.

3.80
jugger

jugger (+4,397.68) bet £15.00 on this tip.

3.80
CJ

CJ (+3,433.28) bet £5.00 on this tip.

4.01
Daniel Bergman Chumacero Aguilera

Daniel Bergman Chumacero Aguilera (+164.10) bet £20.00 on this tip.

3.80
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