Granada v Las Palmas - Draw No Bet

Football - La Liga - 30 Apr 21:00

This tip is for Las Palmas to beat Granada away in the draw no bet market.

Let me start off by saying, this is one of the craziest prices I've come across this season... what the actual fuck?! I would be happy backing them at this price for the straight win, yet alone draw no bet.

So the bookies have made Granada 1.6 favourites for this game, why? Let's look in to this...

Granada have the third worst home record in the league, reading 5-5-7. They are 17th in La Liga and are in a relegation scrap as opposed to their opponents who are safe following an unreal couple of months, possibly the only reason why they should be a bit shorter than usual but 1.6?! I would struggle to set that price for them against most Segunda sides to be honest.

Granada have won just one of their last eight games in La Liga, with that win coming against bottom of the league Levante. At home they are actually unbeaten in their last five, but you have to consider all those games have been against opponents around them in the league, all of them shocking away from home. This includes the likes of Sporting, Levante, Espanyol and Rayo.

Granada will be without two of their regular defenders in Babin and Foulquier. Isaac Success who has been crucial to their attack this season is also a major doubt for this game which means they will be without three of their key players.

Las Palmas come in to his with no pressure whatsoever. They went from being the laughing stock of La Liga to becoming one of the toughest teams to break down, whilst playing beautiful football at the same time. From sitting rock bottom of the league for months to now finding themselves in 9th spot, what an incredible achievement!

Their away record reads 4-3-10 which doesn't look great at first glance, but when you consider they have won four of their last five games on the road, it is a totally different story. They went on a run of four successive wins on the road, beating the likes of Villareal, Sociedad, Eibar and Depor which are all better teams than Granada.

This is a side that has only lost 4 of their last 11 away games. Despite their defeat to Betis last game, they are still 3rd in the form table behind Madrid and Atletico. They probably wouldn't have even lost that game to Betis had they not had a man sent off late in the first half.

They will be without Castellano who is their starting left back and starting centre back Lemos will be facing a late fitness test ahead of this game.

All in all, we have a team in great form, up against one of the worst teams in La Liga who sit one place outside the relegation zone. Las Palmas have been solid away from home, conceding just two goals in their last five outings. They will be up against a Granada side who have won just one of their last eight games.

Apart from the fact that Las Palmas have nothing to play for, there is no other reason why they should be as high as 6.7 to win this game.... it is complete and utter madness!! Quique Setien isn't the sort of manager who will let them take it easy now that they have secured safety as they will be looking to break club records by finishing in the top half in La Liga for the first time ever.

Las Palmas beat Granada 4-1 in the reverse fixture earlier this season.

I had Las Palmas priced between 2.4 to 2.7 in the draw no bet market so I am absolutely gobsmacked by this price on offer with Marathon, over double what I had them penciled in at. The next best price is 4.7 and Betfair are as low as 3.75 which shows you the kind of value we're getting here. I am personally having one of the biggest bets of the season on this, having had success in my other big bet recently backing Atletico draw no bet against Bayern in what was another stupid price. Definite max stakes recommended, cannot see Las Palmas losing this one and I would be very surprised if this price is still around come tomorrow evening.
nogzinho +84.15
Stake: 30 4.85Marathonbet
Best Odds

Posted 3 years ago

4.85
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5.10

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5.10

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4.50
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4.84
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5.10
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