Deportivo La Coruna v Girona Over 3 2H Cards

Football - La Liga - 23 Oct 20:00

Rare dip into Spain for me these days, but I'm backing there to 4 or more cards in the 2nd half of this one. This should be a relatively even game, as 15th host 17th, with the home side the favs at around evens. I fancy BTTS, but can't see either team running away with it.

This bet has won in 7/8 of Girona's games and 3/3 away, and in 3/8 of Depor's games, although another 3 have ended on 3 cards.

79.49% of the cards in Depor's games have come in the 2nd half, whereas 67.31% of the cards in Girona's games have come in the 2nd half.

When we consider the line across the board is U/O 6; this equates to 4.47 cards expected in the 2nd half in line with Depor's stats and 4.04 expected 2H cards in line with Girona's stats. Both in excess of what we need here.

I expect Girona to pick up the bulk here, as they have picked up 3 or more cards in 6/8 games so far this season.

The ref for this one is Jesus Gil Manzano; who has averaged 5 cards per game in La Liga this season and 60% of these have come in the 2nd half.

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Posted 12 months ago

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