Athletic Bilbao v Hertha Berlin Over 4.5 Cards

Football - Europa League - 23 Nov 18:00

Quick tip; most wide open group in the competition - as it stands; Ostersunds 7 points, Zorya 6 points, Bilbao 5 points, Hertha 4 points. If the Germans lose, they are out. If Bilbao lose, it puts them in a poor position to qualify.

Bilbao aren't in great form with just 2 wins in their last 15 games. The ground out a win v Ostersunds last time out, in a game that saw 7 cards, 6 of which were picked up by Bilbao. The first leg finished 0-0 and I can see another close one here.

Bilbao have picked up 2 or more in 2/4 of their games, whereas Hertha have picked up 2 or more in 3/4.

The ref for this game is Paolo Tagliavento. He averages 4.49 cards per game in 53 European games, having shown over this mark in 24/53 (45%). A red card with Marathon looks a slice of value at 4.85. He has shown a red in 13/53 (24.53% = 4.08), and Bilbao picked up a red in their last game in the group.

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Posted 8 months ago

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